Statistics released by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) show that the number of newly listed homes and sales activity declined in June 2010.
Seasonally adjusted national home sales activity via the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) Systems of Canadian real estate Boards receded 8.2 per cent in June from the previous month. Led by lower activity in Toronto and Calgary, sales declined in almost 70 per cent of local markets.
Tightened mortgage regulations and anticipated interest rate increases cooled sales activity throughout the second quarter, resulting in a decline of 13.3 per cent from near-record levels in the first quarter. As expected, these two national factors contributed to a widespread decline in activity, with transactions down in all but a dozen or so smaller markets.
Actual (not seasonally adjusted) national sales activity was 19.7 per cent lower in June 2010 compared to last year, when activity almost reached a new record for the month. Actual sales activity in the second quarter stood 2.8 per cent below levels reported in the second quarter of 2009. For the year-to-date, transactions are up 13.6 per cent compared to the first-six months of last year. This gap is expected to shrink as the year progresses, since activity trended upward over the second half of last year and is forecast to continue easing over the second half of 2010.
The number of newly listed homes on Canadian MLS® Systems in June 2010 declined by 6.8 per cent from the previous month, following a monthly decline of 4.8 per cent in May. A declining trend in new listings will help maintain the balance between supply and demand, and temper home price volatility.
The national average price of homes sold via Canadian MLS® Systems rose 4.9 per cent on a year-over-year basis in June to $342,662.
The national average price can be skewed by changes in provincial sales activity. The national weighted average price compensates for this by taking into account provincial proportions of privately owned housing stock. It climbed 6.3 per cent on a year-over-year basis in June 2010. Similarly, the residential average price in Canada’s major markets was up 5.7 per cent year-over-year in June, while the weighted major market average price rose 8.7 per cent.
The number of months of inventory represents the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity, and measures the balance between housing supply and demand. It stood at 5.7 months at the end of June 2010 on a national basis. This is up from 4.2 months one year ago, when it fell to its lowest level since the economic recovery began. The rise in the number of months of inventory was widespread, with increases from year-ago levels in all provinces, except Manitoba and Prince Edward Island.
The seasonally adjusted number of months of inventory stood at 6.9 months at the end of June on a national basis, the highest level since March 2009. It may rise further as sales activity trends lower over the second half of 2010, but an expected decline in the number of new listings should stabilize the balance between supply and demand.
“The housing market is becoming more challenging for sellers,” said CREA President Georges Pahud. “Buyers are in less of a hurry, so sellers should consult with their local REALTOR® on how to best price and present their home to attract purchase offers.”
“National home sales activity is easing due to fewer and more cautious first-time home buyers,” said Chief Economist Gregory Klump. “With interest rates on the rise, housing affordability and home sales activity are expected to continue to erode over the second half of 2010. While the pricing environment is becoming more challenging, a recovering economy and job market will provide support for housing activity and prices.”
PLEASE NOTE: The information contained in this news release combines both major market and national MLS® sales information from the previous month.
CREA cautions that average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time, but does not indicate actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighborhoods or account for price differential between geographic areas. Statistical information contained in this report includes all housing types.
MLS® is a co-operative marketing system used only by Canada’s real estate Boards to ensure maximum exposure of properties listed for sale.
The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) is one of Canada’s largest single-industry trade associations, representing more than 99,000 REALTORS® working through more than 100 real estate Boards and Associations.
Further information can be found at http://www.crea.ca/public/news_stats/pdfs/media_july15rpt_e.pdf
For more information, please contact:
Spencer Callaghan, Communications Officer
The Canadian Real Estate Association
P: 613-237-7111
E: scallaghan@crea.ca
Homebuyers have more choice heading into the busy spring buying season, with new supply in Canada's resale housing market setting a record for the month of March. While resale housing demand remains strong, rising numbers of new listings are resulting in a more balanced national resale housing market. According to statistics released by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), some 97,663 residential properties were listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLSvSystems of Canadian real estate Boards in March 2010. This is an increase of 20 per cent from the previous March record set in 2008. A total of 233,402 new listings have come on stream since the beginning of the year, more than in any other first quarter period on record.
"Negotiations still favour sellers during the home buying process in a number of major Canadian housing markets," said CREA President Georges Pahud. "The rise in new listings means that buyers may shop around more before making an offer."
Demand remains very strong, but has edged lower compared to the record levels posted at the end of 2009. Seasonally adjusted national home sales totalled 130,072 units in the first three months of 2010. This represents the fourth highest quarterly level on record, down 3.4 per cent from the quarterly peak in the fourth quarter of last year. Sales activity in Ontario, Quebec, and Newfoundland & Labrador rose to new records in the first quarter. Higher activity in these provinces was offset by a decline in activity in British Columbia (-17.8 per cent) and Alberta (-9.7 per cent).
Actual (not seasonally adjusted) sales numbered 111,110 units in the first quarter of 2010. This is the third highest level ever for the first quarter period.
A total of 43,621 homes traded hands through Boards' MLS(R) Systems on a seasonally adjusted basis in March 2010. This is an increase of 1.4 per cent from February, as further gains in Toronto more than offset a decline in activity in Vancouver.
Unadjusted national sales activity numbered 49,256 units in March. This marks the second highest level on record for the month of March. On a year-over-year basis, sales were up 40.8 per cent, smaller than those of the previous five months. Since a year will soon have elapsed following the recessionary decline and subsequent rebound for the Canadian resale market, year-over-year comparisons are expected to continue shrinking in the months ahead.
The national average price of homes sold via Canadian MLS® Systems in March was $340,920. This is the second highest national average price on record, just $300 below the peak reached last October. Compared to March 2009, the national average home price was up 17.6 per cent. As with sales activity, the increase was smaller than those recorded over the past five months, and year-over-year gains are expected to become further subdued as the year progresses.
The price trend is similar but less dramatic for the national weighted average price, which compensates for changes in provincial sales activity by taking into account provincial proportions of privately owned housing stock. It climbed 16 per cent on a year-over-year basis in March 2010.
The residential average price in Canada's major markets climbed 19 per cent year-over-year to $373,835 in March. As with the national counterpart, the price trend is similar but less dramatic for the major market weighted average price, which rose 17 per cent from levels reported in March 2009.
There were 214,312 homes listed for sale on Boards' MLS® Systems in Canada at the end of March 2010, a decline of nine per cent compared to the elevated levels of one year ago. This is the smallest year-over-year decline in active listings since June 2009.
The actual (not seasonally adjusted) number of months of inventory in March 2010 stood at 4.4 months. While well below where it stood one year ago (6.7 months), and down slightly from March 2008 (five months), months of inventory are higher compared to March from 2004 through 2007. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, months of inventory stood at 4.6 months in March. This was little changed from February, but stands above levels reported in the previous four months.
"The erosion of housing affordability is crimping activity in some of Canada's priciest markets in the lower mainland of British Columbia," said CREA Chief Economist Gregory Klump. "Higher mortgage interest rates and the rise in new listings may also soon reduce some of the urgency to purchase in Toronto. Sales activity in British Columbia and Ontario is expected to ease over the second half of 2010 once the HST comes into effect, pulling national activity lower. Rising supply and lower activity will take the steam out of the pricing environment following upbeat home sales this spring."
CREA cautions that average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time, but does not indicate actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighborhoods or account for price differential between geographic areas. Statistical information contained in this report includes all housing types.
Homebuyers have more choice heading into the busy spring buying season, with new supply in Canada’s resale housing market setting a record for the month of March. While resale housing demand remains strong, rising numbers of new listings are resulting in a more balanced national resale housing market.
According to statistics released by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), some 97,663 residential properties were listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) Systems of Canadian real estate Boards in March 2010. This is an increase of 20 per cent from the previous March record set in 2008. A total of 233,402 new listings have come on stream since the beginning of the year, more than in any other first quarter period on record.
“Negotiations still favour sellers during the home buying process in a number of major Canadian housing markets,” said CREA President Georges Pahud. “The rise in new listings means that buyers may shop around more before making an offer.”
Demand remains very strong, but has edged lower compared to the record levels posted at the end of 2009. Seasonally adjusted national home sales totalled 130,072 units in the first three months of 2010. This represents the fourth highest quarterly level on record, down 3.4 per cent from the quarterly peak in the fourth quarter of last year. Sales activity in Ontario, Quebec, and Newfoundland & Labrador rose to new records in the first quarter. Higher activity in these provinces was offset by a decline in activity in British Columbia (-17.8 per cent) and Alberta (-9.7 per cent).
Actual (not seasonally adjusted) sales numbered 111,110 units in the first quarter of 2010. This is the third highest level ever for the first quarter period.
A total of 43,621 homes traded hands through Boards’ MLS® Systems on a seasonally adjusted basis in March 2010. This is an increase of 1.4 per cent from February, as further gains in Toronto more than offset a decline in activity in Vancouver. Seasonally adjusted sales scaled new heights in Toronto and Ottawa in March.
Unadjusted national sales activity numbered 49,256 units in March. This marks the second highest level on record for the month of March. On a year-over-year basis, sales were up 40.8 per cent, smaller than those of the previous five months. Since a year will soon have elapsed following the recessionary decline and subsequent rebound for the Canadian resale market, year-over-year comparisons are expected to continue shrinking in the months ahead.
The national average price of homes sold via Canadian MLS® Systems in March was $340,920. This is the second highest national average price on record, just $300 below the peak reached last October. Compared to March 2009, the national average home price was up 17.6 per cent. As with sales activity, the increase was smaller than those recorded over the past five months, and year-over-year gains are expected to become further subdued as the year progresses.
The price trend is similar but less dramatic for the national weighted average price, which compensates for changes in provincial sales activity by taking into account provincial proportions of privately owned housing stock. It climbed 16 per cent on a year-over-year basis in March 2010.
The residential average price in Canada’s major markets climbed 19 per cent year-over-year to $373,835 in March. As with the national counterpart, the price trend is similar but less dramatic for the major market weighted average price, which rose 17 per cent from levels reported in March 2009.
There were 214,312 homes listed for sale on Boards’ MLS® Systems in Canada at the end of March 2010, a decline of nine per cent compared to the elevated levels of one year ago. This is the smallest year-over-year decline in active listings since June 2009.
The actual (not seasonally adjusted) number of months of inventory in March 2010 stood at 4.4 months. While well below where it stood one year ago (6.7 months), and down slightly from March 2008 (five months), months of inventory are higher compared to March from 2004 through 2007. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, months of inventory stood at 4.6 months in March. This was little changed from February, but stands above levels reported in the previous four months.
“The erosion of housing affordability is crimping activity in some of Canada’s priciest markets in the lower mainland of British Columbia,” said CREA Chief Economist Gregory Klump. “Higher mortgage interest rates and the rise in new listings may also soon reduce some of the urgency to purchase in Toronto. Sales activity in British Columbia and Ontario is expected to ease over the second half of 2010 once the HST comes into effect, pulling national activity lower. Rising supply and lower activity will take the steam out of the pricing environment following upbeat home sales this spring.”
PLEASE NOTE: The information contained in this news release combines both major market and national MLS® sales information from the previous month. The Canadian Real Estate Association has previously released these separately.
CREA cautions that average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time, but does not indicate actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighborhoods or account for price differential between geographic areas. Statistical information contained in this report includes all housing types.
MLS® is a co-operative marketing system used only by Canada’s real estate Boards to ensure maximum exposure of properties listed for sale.
The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) is one of Canada’s largest single-industry trade associations, representing more than 98,000 REALTORS® working through more than 100 real estate Boards and Associations.
Further information can be found at http://www.crea.ca/public/news_stats/pdfs/media_mar10.pdf
Greater Toronto Realtors reported 10,430 sales through the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in March, pushing total first quarter 2010 sales to 22,418 – the best result on record under the current Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) boundaries. The average price for March transactions was $434,696. The average price for the first quarter was $427,948.
"The strong rebound in the existing home market was one of the initial drivers of economic recovery," said TREB President Tom Lebour. "While we don't expect to see the same rates growth moving forward, GTA households will remain confident in ownership housing as a quality long-term investment, especially as economic recovery expands across all industries."
The annual rate of growth for new listings continued to accelerate in March. The number of new listings grew by 42 per cent compared to March of 2008. "The average home price in the GTA will continue to grow this year, but the pace will slow as we move through the spring," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Senior Manager of Market Analysis. "As growth in new listings starts to outstrip growth in sales, buyers will experience more choice, resulting in more sustainable single digit rates of average price growth."
See the Toronto Real Estate Board's Market Watch report »
